Global Infrastructure Completion Risk Rating Criteria

Fitch invites feedback from market participants on the proposed criteria. Comments should be sent to [email protected] by March 13, 2020.

Completion continues to pose a significant risk with numerous infrastructure projects experiencing delays, cost overruns, and termination as result of challenges during the construction phase. The unique analysis required to evaluate such risk has led Fitch to breakout completion risk into its own standalone criteria. While the analytical approach is conceptually the same, Fitch’s new completion risk criteria is designed to provide greater detail and transparency on important factors including: a project’s complexity, scale, and duration (CS&D) which is considered the main driver of the analysis; availability of replacement contractors; and contract terms.

The underlying credit strength and experience of the contractor(s) is fundamental to Fitch’s analysis. The criteria gives credit to the strength of joint ventures of near equal members and also takes into account that Independent Engineers (IEs) opinions and standards are not all the same with a new approach to view unsubstantiated IE opinions. Fitch does not anticipate changes to its outstanding ratings as result of the new criteria with most projects well along in construction. However, new projects may be rated a notch lower or higher depending upon the specifics of the particular transaction.

Related Reports

Exposure Draft: Completion Risk Rating Criteria – Cross-Sector Criteria

Exposure Risk: Completion Risk Criteria FAQ – Further Details on the Exposure Draft Released Jan 15, 2020


Analytical Contacts

Cherian George
Managing Director
[email protected]
+ 1 212 908 0519

Scott Zuchorski
Senior Director
[email protected]
+1 212 908 0659

U.S. Business Development Contacts

Ann Flynn

Managing Director
[email protected]
+1 212 908 9152

Saavan Gatfield
Senior Director
[email protected]
+1 212 908 0542

EMEA Business Development Contacts

Michael Androsov
Senior Director
[email protected]
+44 20 3530 1096

APAC Business Development Contacts

Amit Ganju
Senior Director
[email protected]
+65 6796 7201


Webinar On-Demand

Fitch Analysts recently hosted a webinar discussing the significant risk posed by completion as with numerous infrastructure projects experiencing challenges during the construction phase. Click here to learn more and tune in to the webinar on demand.


U.S. Investor Development Contacts

Michele O’Brien
Senior Director
[email protected]
+1 312 368 2087

Adrian Fekula
Senior Market Research Associate
[email protected]
+1 646 582 3535

EMEA Investor Development Contacts

Richard Jefferies
Director
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+44 20 3530 2629

APAC Investor Development Contacts

Helen Wong
Senior Director
[email protected]
+852 2263 9934